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Sunday, January 18, 2026

Trump and EU Strike Major Trade Deal, Averting Tariff War

Date:

The United States and the European Union have finalized a major trade agreement after months of tense negotiations, avoiding the threat of a damaging transatlantic trade war. The deal, reached at a private meeting in Scotland between Donald Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, sets a new baseline tariff of 15% on most EU exports to the U.S.—significantly lower than the previously threatened 30–50% rates.
President Trump called the agreement a “powerful deal,” emphasizing that it stabilizes the world’s largest trading partnership. Von der Leyen praised the deal as “huge” and crucial for ensuring “stability and predictability” in transatlantic trade. Despite the progress, some concerns remain—particularly in the steel sector, where a 50% tariff still applies, and pharmaceuticals, where tariff terms are subject to future U.S. decisions.
The deal includes an EU commitment to purchase $750 billion in U.S. energy products over three years and invest $600 billion in American industries, including defense. In return, the U.S. has agreed to zero tariffs on aircraft parts, semiconductors, select chemicals, agricultural products, and critical raw materials.
Germany and Italy welcomed the agreement, recognizing its potential to protect key export sectors like automotive manufacturing. However, concerns persist over the continued high tariffs on steel and the special 10% rate offered to Northern Ireland, which may complicate Ireland’s economic and political balance.
While the agreement does not restore pre-Trump tariff levels—which averaged 4.8%—it prevents the imposition of even higher duties and reassures global markets. Trump retained the option to increase tariffs if the EU fails to meet its commitments, keeping pressure on European leaders.
With the EU-U.S. trade flow valued at €1.4 trillion, this agreement is expected to ease investor fears and calm markets following months of uncertainty.

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